STEP 1
THE DECISION
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STEP 2
LOAD-BEARING ASSUMPTIONS

Identify three critical things that must be true for success.

STEP 3
CALIBRATION & ACTION

Set your confidence level and run the stress test.

50% — Uncertain / Discovery
OUTPUT
REALITY CHECK
STEELMAN COUNTER-ARGUMENT
Complete all steps and click "Stress Test Logic" to generate analysis.
SMALLEST SAFE TEST
Your recommended validation experiment will appear here.